The official rainy and cyclone season for 2024 in the country is set to commence on May 15th. The National Water Commission's National Meteorological Service (SMN) anticipates that at least two tropical cyclones could potentially affect the Yucatan Peninsula.
According to a recent press conference report, five tropical cyclones are expected to impact the country this year. Three of these cyclones are predicted to originate from the Pacific Ocean, while the remaining two are expected to develop in the Atlantic Ocean and the Gulf of Mexico, where the Yucatan Peninsula is located.
The states most likely to be affected by these five cyclones are Baja California Sur, Quintana Roo, and Veracruz, as outlined by Alejandra Margarita Méndez Girón, the General Coordinator of the SMN.
The cyclone season will kick off on the Pacific Ocean side, with an estimated 15 to 18 systems expected to develop globally. The Atlantic Ocean side's season will follow, starting on June 1st, with a global prediction of 20 to 23 systems. This represents a 50 percent increase over the average. Despite this, the representative from Conagua assures that the rainy season is expected to remain within normal parameters.
The Atlantic cyclones will be named: Alberto, Beryl, Chris, Debby, Ernesto, Francine, Gordon, Helene, Isaac, Joyce, Kirk, Leslie, Milton, Nadine, Oscar, Patty, Rafael, Sara, Tony, Valerie, and William. The Pacific cyclones will bear the names: Aletta, Bud, Carlotta, Daniel, Emilia, Fabio, Gilma, Hector, Ileana, John, Kristy, Lane, Miriam, Norman, Olivia, Paul, Rosa, Sergio, Tara, Vicente, Willa, Xavier, Yolanda, and Zeke.
Tropical cyclones, as explained by Conagua, are enormous low-pressure systems that move in a counterclockwise direction. They can be classified into three types: tropical depression, tropical storm, and hurricane, based on their wind speed. This means that while five cyclones are predicted to impact Mexico, not all will necessarily develop into hurricanes, tropical storms, or tropical depressions.
The National Meteorological Service has assured that they have the necessary equipment to respond to emergencies. However, they urge the public to stay alert and pay close attention to official reports.
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