Yucatan Peninsula Weather Alert: Cyclone Threat Looms

The Regional Hydrometeorological Center “Mérida”, part of the National Meteorological Service, has issued a weather forecast for the Yucatan Peninsula. The forecast, effective from 6:00 AM on Sunday, June 16 to 6:00 AM on Monday, June 17, 2024, predicts partly cloudy to cloudy skies over the next 24 hours. There is a high chance of heavy to intense rainfall, with daytime temperatures expected to be warm to hot, and nighttime temperatures remaining warm.

The forecast also indicates a likelihood of very strong to intense rains in Yucatan, Campeche, and Quintana Roo. This is due to a low-pressure zone in the region with potential for cyclonic development, interacting with the monsoon trough extending over the southern Pacific coast of Mexico. Daytime and nighttime temperatures will be warm to hot, with east-southeast winds of 15 to 25 km/h and gusts exceeding 40 km/h.

The low-pressure zone over the region has a 10% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone in the next 2 days, and a 60% chance within the next week.

The city of Mérida is expected to experience temperatures ranging from 28 to 30 °C at its peak, and 22 to 24 °C at its lowest. Inland areas of the state will see maximum temperatures of 29 to 31 °C in the south, with minimum temperatures of 22 to 24 °C. As of 7:00 AM on Sunday, Mérida reported a temperature of 27 °C, with 91% humidity and 14 km/h winds.

The National Meteorological Service also predicts showers and strong rains with possible thunderstorms in several municipalities of Campeche, regions of Yucatan, and municipalities of Quintana Roo. These conditions, accompanied by gusty winds, could affect the region. Residents are urged to stay informed about the development of this weather system and take necessary precautions.